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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">vdgtu</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Вестник Дагестанского государственного технического университета. Технические науки</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Herald of Dagestan State Technical University. Technical Sciences</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2073-6185</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2542-095X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Daghestan State Technical University</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.21822/2073-6185-2018-45-3-123-133</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">vdgtu-597</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ТЕХНИЧЕСКИЕ НАУКИ. ИНФОРМАТИКА, ВЫЧИСЛИТЕЛЬНАЯ ТЕХНИКА И УПРАВЛЕНИЕ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>TECHNICAL SCIENCE. COMPUTER SCIENCE, COMPUTER ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>ПРОГРАММНОЕ ПРИЛОЖЕНИЕ ДЛЯ РАСЧЕТА МОДЕЛИ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ ИННОВАЦИОННОГО РАЗВИТИЯ ОТРАСЛЕЙ</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>SOFTWARE APPLICATION FOR CALCULATING MODELS FORECASTING INNOVATIVE DEVELOPMENT OF INDUSTRIES</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мирземагомедова</surname><given-names>М. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Mirzemagomedova</surname><given-names>M. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>367026, г. Махачкала, пр. Имама Шамиля, 70.</p><p>Мирземагомедова Мадина Миязуллаховна - кандидат технических наук, доцент, кафедра «Прикладная математика и информатика».</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>70 I. Shamil Ave., Makhachkala 367026.</p><p>Madina M. Mirzemagomedova - Cand. Sci. (Technical), Assoc. Prof., Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science.</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">muradovam72@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мурадов</surname><given-names>М. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Muradov</surname><given-names>M. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>367026, г. Махачкала, пр. Имама Шамиля, 70.</p><p>Мурадов Марат Миязуллахович - кандидат экономических наук, доцент, кафедра «Информационные технологии и прикладная информатика в экономике».</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>70 I. Shamil Ave., Makhachkala 367026.</p><p>Marat M. Muradov - Cand. Sci. (Economics), Assoc. Prof., Department Information Technologies and Ap-plied Informatics in Economics.</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">Muradovm70@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Дагестанский государственный технический университет.</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Daghestan State Technical University.</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2018</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>12</day><month>05</month><year>2019</year></pub-date><volume>45</volume><issue>3</issue><fpage>123</fpage><lpage>133</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Мирземагомедова М.М., Мурадов М.М., 2019</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2019</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Мирземагомедова М.М., Мурадов М.М.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Mirzemagomedova M.M., Muradov M.M.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://vestnik.dgtu.ru/jour/article/view/597">https://vestnik.dgtu.ru/jour/article/view/597</self-uri><abstract><sec><title>Цель</title><p>Цель. Статья посвящена разработке программного приложения, позволяющего автоматизировать методы сбора и обработки информации, а также выполнять трудоемкие аналитические вычисления. Для реализации программного приложения использован визуальный объектно-ориентированный язык программирования Embarcadero C++ Builder XE. Разрабатываемое программное обеспечение создается для решения следующих задач: сравнительный анализ показателей инновационного развития по выбранным годам; выбор прогнозируемого показателя, построение регрессионной модели; составление прогноза с периодом упреждения равным 3; определение доверительного интервала; формирование графического отображения наблюдаемых и расчетных значений, выбранного показателя инновационного развития.</p></sec><sec><title>Метод</title><p>Метод. В программном приложении в качестве математической модели использовались формализованные методы, одним из которых является множественная регрессия. Регрессионный анализ заключается в определении аналитического выражения связи, в которой изменение одной величины, называемой зависимой или результативным признаком, обусловлено влиянием одной или нескольких независимых величин (факторов).</p></sec><sec><title>Результат</title><p>Результат. С помощью разработанного программного продукта можно не только автоматизировать трудоемкие методы сбора и обработки информации, но и выполнять сложные аналитические вычисления с использованием метода множественной регрессии.</p></sec><sec><title>Вывод</title><p>Вывод. Embarcadero C++Builder XE - это на сегодняшний день последняя современная технология и среда для программирования на языке C++. С помощью C++Builder XE стало быстрее выполнять работу по созданию высококачественных приложений для Windows-приложений, за счет быстрого написания кода, новых инструментов и компонентов.</p></sec></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><sec><title>Objectives</title><p>Objectives. The article is devoted to the development of a software application that allows you to automate methods for collecting and processing information, as well as perform time-consuming analytical calculations. Embarcadero C ++ Builder XE, a visual object-oriented programming language, was used to implement a software application. The software being developed is created to solve the following tasks: a comparative analysis of innovative development indicators for the selected years; selection of a projected indicator, building a regression model; making a forecast with a lead time of 3; determination of the confidence interval; the formation of a graphical display of observable and calculated values, the selected indicator of innovative development.</p></sec><sec><title>Method</title><p>Method. In a software application, formalized methods were used as a mathematical model, one of which is multiple regression. Regression analysis consists in defining an analytical expression of a relationship in which a change in a single quantity, called a dependent or productive attribute, is due to the influence of one or several independent quantities (factors).</p></sec><sec><title>Result</title><p>Result. With the help of the developed software product, you can not only automate time-consuming methods of collecting and processing information, but also per-form complex analytical calculations using the multiple regression method.</p></sec><sec><title>Conclusion</title><p>Conclusion. Embarcadero C ++ Builder XE is by far the latest state-of-the-art technology and C ++ programming environment. With C ++ Builder, XE has become faster to do the job of creating high-quality applications for Windows-based applications, due to the rapid writing of code, new tools and components.</p></sec></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>программное приложение</kwd><kwd>методы прогнозирования</kwd><kwd>метод множественной регрессии</kwd><kwd>визуальный объектно-ориентированный язык программирования Embarcadero C++ Builder XE</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>software application</kwd><kwd>forecasting methods</kwd><kwd>multiple regression method</kwd><kwd>visual object-oriented programming language Embarcadero C ++ Builder XE</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Мурадов М.М. Сфиева Д.К., Мирземагомедова М.М. Автоматизированная система учета и оценки научной работы кафедры вуза. 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